Program

(Participation by invitation only)

Thursday, September 15

20:00 Welcoming Dinner, Hotel Uto Kulm

Friday, September 16

09:00 Welcome (L.-E. Cederman)
09:15 Keynote Address (N. Sambanis, Yale University):
Problems and Prospects in the Civil War Literature

Panel: Modeling I (Chair: M. D. Ward)

10:00 I. Lustick (University of Pennsylvania):
Defining Violence in Order to Model Political Violence

10:20 D. Miodownik (University of Pennsylvania):
What goes up must come down? Political decentralization and the emergence of regional autonomy movements

10:40 R. Bhavnani (University of Illinois):
Learning from Adversity: Ethnic Ties and Ethnic Domination

11:00 Coffee break
11:30 Comments (C. Daase)
11:50 Discussion

12:30 Lunch break

Panel: Modeling II (Chair: S. Hug)

14:00 H. Buhaug (NTNU), S. Gates and P. Lujala (PRIO):
Geography, Strategic Ambitions, and the Duration of Civil Conflict

14:20 L.-E. Cederman and L. Girardin (ETH):
Measuring Grievance: Ethno-Nationalist Exclusion and Civil War Onset

14:40 Comments (H. Dorussen)
15:00 Discussion
15:30 Coffee break

Panel: Statistics (Chair: L.-E. Cederman)

16:00 S. Hug (University of Zurich):
Institutions and Conflict Resolution. Dealing with Endogeneity

16:20 M. D. Ward (University of Washington):
What Are the Neighbors Doing?

16:40 Comments (N. Sambanis)
17:00 Discussion
17:40 Free Time

19:30 Dinner in Zurich, Haus zum Rüden, Limmatquai 42, 8001 Zurich

Saturday, September 17

08:30 Business Meeting: GROW-Net
10:00 Coffee break

Panel: Data (Chair: I. Lustick)

10:30 H. Hegre (PRIO), C. Raleigh (PRIO and University of Colorado):
Population Size, Concentration, and Civil War. A Geographically Disaggregated Analysis

10:50 J. K. Rød (NTNU) and H. Buhaug (NTNU):
Using disaggregated grid cells for a study on the onset of African Civil Wars

11:10 Comments (N. Weidmann)
11:30 Discussion
12:00 Lunch break

Tooling Session (Chair: L.-E. Cederman)

13:30 ACLED, GROWLab
15:30 Coffee break

16:00 Closing Session
17:00 End of Conference