Publications

All publications are listed in chronological order. If you are looking for publications of a specific member of our group please consult their personal homepage.

2012

• Wucherpfennig, J., Metternich, N., Cederman, L.-E., and Gleditsch, Kristian S. 2012.
  Ethnicity, the State and the Duration of Civil War
  World Politics 64(1):79-115
   

2011

• Cederman, L.-E, Warren, T. C., and Sornette, D. 2011.
  Testing Clausewitz: Nationalism, Mass Mobilization, and the Severity of War.
  International Organization 65(4):605-38
   
• Cederman, L.-E., Gleditsch, K.S., and Hug, S. 2011.
  Elections and Ethnic Civil War
  Forthcoming in Comparative Political Studies
   
• Cederman, L.-E., Weidmann, N.B., and Gleditsch, K.S. 2011.
  Horizontal Inequalities and Ethno-Nationalist Civil War: A Global Comparison
  American Political Science Review 105(3):478-95
   
• Wucherpfennig, J., Weidmann, N. B., Girardin, L., Cederman, L.-E. and Wimmer, A 2011.
  Politically Relevant Ethnic Groups across Space and Time: Introducing the GeoEPR Dataset
  Conflict Management and Peace Science 28(5):423-37
   

2010

• Albert, M., Cederman, L.-E., and Wendt, A. (eds.) 2010.
  New Systems Theories of World Politics
  London: Palgrave Macmillan
   
• Bormann, N.-C. 2010.
  Patterns of Democracy and Its Critics
  Living Reviews in Democracy, 2
  [www]  
   
• Cederman, L.-E. and Girardin, Luc 2010.
  Growing Sovereignty: Modeling the Shift from Indirect to Direct Rule
  International Studies Quarterly 54 (2010): 27-48
   
• Cederman, L.-E., Hug, S. and Krebs, L. F. 2010.
  Democratization and Civil War - Empirical evidence
  Journal of Peace Research 47 (4): 377-394
   
• Cederman, L.-E., Wimmer, A., and Min, B. 2010.
  Why Do Ethnic Groups Rebel? New Data and Analysis
  World Politics 62(1): 87-119
   
• Schutte, S. 2010.
  Optimization and Falsification in Empirical Agent-Based Models
  Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 13, 1
  [www]  
   
• Warren, C. 2010.
  The Geometry of Security: Modeling Interstate Alliances as Evolving Networks
  American Political Science Review 105(3):478-95
   
• Weidmann, N. B., Rød, J.K. and Cederman, L.-E. 2010.
  Representing Ethnic Groups in Space: A New Dataset
  Journal of Peace Research 47(4) 491-499
   

2009

• Cederman, L.-E. and Gleditsch, K. S. 2009.
  Introduction to Special Issue on "Disaggregating Civil War"
  Journal of Conflict Resolution 53: 487-495
   
• Cederman, L.-E. and Gleditsch, K.S. 2009.
  Disaggregating Civil War
  Special Journal Issue. Journal of Conflict Resolution
   
• Cederman, L.-E., Buhaug H. and Rød, J. K. 2009.
  Ethno-Nationalist Dyads: A GIS-Based Analysis
  Journal of Conflict Resolution 53: 496-525
   
• Cederman, L.-E., Girardin, L. and Gleditsch, K. S. 2009.
  Ethno-Nationalist Triads: Assessing the Influence of Kin Groups on Civil Wars
  World Politics 61: 403-437
   
• Deiwiks, C. 2009.
  Populism
  Living Reviews in Democracy 1
  [www]  
   
• Krebs, L. F. 2009.
  How Influential are Political Leaders? Elites and Ethno-Nationalist Conflict during Democratization
  Prepared for presentation at the Maastricht Graduate School of Governance Seminar Series, Maastricht (NL), June 4, 2009; the concluding workshop of the doctoral school 'NCCR Challenges to Democracy in the 21st Century', Grindelwald (CH), June 11-13, 2009; the 5th ECPR General Conference, Potsdam (DE), September 10-12, 2009; and at the workshop 'Democratization and Conflict', Zurich (CH), October 2, 2009
  [www]  
   
• Vorrath, J. and Krebs, L. F. 2009.
  Democratisation and Conflict in Ethnically Divided Societies
  Living Reviews in Democracy
  [www]  
   
• Weidmann, N. B. and Cederman, L.-E. 2009.
  GeoContest: Modeling Strategic Competition in Geopolitical Systems
  Social Science Computer Review 26
  [www]  
   
• Wimmer, A., Cederman, L.-E., and Min, B. 2009.
  Ethnic Politics and Armed Conflict: A Configurational Analysis
  American Sociological Review 74(2): 316-337
  [www]  
   

2008

• Buhaug, H., Cederman, L.-E. and Rød, J.-K. 2008.
  Disaggregating Ethno-Nationalist Civil Wars: A Dyadic Test of Exclusion Theory
  International Organization 62(3): 531-551
  [pdf]  
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 2008.
  Articulating the Geo-Cultural Logic of Nationalist Insurgency
  In Order, Conflict, and Violence, edited by Stathis Kalyvas, Ian Shapiro and Tarek Masoud. Cambridge University Press, 2008
  [pdf]  
   
• Cederman, L.-E., Hug, S. and Wenger, A. 2008.
  Democratization and War in Political Science
  Democratization 15(3): 509-524
  [pdf]  
   
• Johnson, D.D.P., Weidmann, N. and Cederman, L.-E. 2008.
  Adaptive advantages of overconfidence in war
  Paper presented at the 49th ISA Convention in San Francisco, March 26 - March 29, 2008.
   

2007

• Cederman, L.-E. 2007.
  A Comment on Eder and Trenz
  In Debating the Democratic Legitimacy of the European Union. Edited by Beate Kohler-Koch and Berthold Rittberger. Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield
   
• Cederman, L.-E. and Girardin, L. 2007.
  Beyond Fractionalization: Mapping Ethnicity onto Nationalist Insurgencies
  American Political Science Review 101 (2007): 173-185
   
• Cederman, L.-E. and Girardin, L. 2007.
  Toward realistic computational models of civil wars
  Paper prepared for presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, to be held in Chicago, August 30-September 2, 2007
  [pdf]  
   
• Krebs, L. 2007.
  Ethnicity, Political Leaders and Violence
  Prepared for presentation at the 6th Pan-European International Relations Conference, Torino, Italy, September 12-15, 2007
  [pdf]  
   
• Krebs, L. 2007.
  Trust and Social Cohesion
  Prepared for presentation at the 4th ECPR General Conference, Pisa, Italy, September 6-8, 2007
  [pdf]  
   
• Vorrath, J., Krebs, L. and Senn, D. 2007.
  Linking Ethnic Conflict & Democratization: An Assessment of Four Troubled Regions
  [www]  
   

2006

• Cederman, L.-E. and Girardin, L. 2006.
  A roadmap to realistic computational models of civil wars
  Presented at the "First World Congress on Social Simulation" Kyoto, August 21-26, 2006.
  [pdf]  
   

2005

• Cederman, L.-E. 2005.
  Computational Models of Social Forms: Advancing Generative Macro Theory
  American Journal of Sociology 110: 864-893
   
• Cederman, L.-E. and Kraus, P. 2005.
  Transnational Communication and the European Demos
  In Digital Formations, edited by Robert Latham and Saskia Sassen. Princeton: Princeton University Press
   
• Deiwiks, C. 2005.
  A Formal Model of International Mediation: Application and Prospects
  Master Thesis, University of Osnabrueck. Publications of the Institute of Cognitive Science, University of Osnabrueck, Volume 3-2005
  [www]  
   
• Weidmann, N. B. and Girardin, L. 2005.
  Evaluating Java Development Kits for Agent-Based Modeling
  Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 8(2)
  [www]  [file]  
   

2004

• Cederman, L.-E. and K. S. Gleditsch 2004.
  Conquest and Regime Change: An Evolutionary Model of the Spread of Democracy and Peace
  International Studies Quarterly 48: 603-629
   

2003

• Cederman, L.-E. 2003.
  Endogenizing Geopolitical Boundaries with Agent-Based Modeling
  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 99 suppl. 3, 2002: 7296-7303.
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 2003.
  Generating State-Size Distributions: A Geopolitical Model
  Paper prepared for presentation at the Agent 2003 conference on "Challenges in Social Simulation", University of Chicago, October 2-4, 2003, and at the University of California, San Diego, January 12, 2004.
  [pdf]  
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 2003.
  Modeling the Size of Wars: From Billiard Balls to Sandpiles
  American Political Science Review 97: 135-150
   
• Cederman, L.-E. and Daase, C. 2003.
  Endogenzing Corporate Identities: The Next Step in Constructivist IR Theory
  European Journal of International Relations 9(1): 5-35
   

2002

• Cederman, L.-E. 2002.
  Nationalism and Ethnicity
  In Handbook of International Relations, ed. Walter Carlsnaes, Thomas Risse, and Beth Simmons. London: Sage
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 2002.
  Levels of Complexity: Endogenizing Agent-Based Modeling
  In Social Agents: Ecology, Exchange, and Evolution, edited by Charles Macal and David Sallach. Argonne National Laboratory
   

2001

• Cederman, L.-E. 2001.
  Constructing Europe's Identity: The External Dimension.
  Boulder: Lynne Rienner
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 2001.
  Political Boundaries and Identity Trade-Offs
  73
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 2001.
  Modeling the Co-Evolution of States and Nations
  In Proceedings of the Workshop on Simulation of Social Agents: Architectures and Institutions, eds. David Sallach and Thomas Wolsko. Argonne National Laboratory
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 2001.
  Nationalism and Bounded Integration: What It Would Take to Construct a European Demos
  European Journal of International Relations 7: 139-174 (also published as working paper at the European University Institute, Florence (RSC No. 2000/34 European Forum Series))
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 2001.
  Back to Kant: Reinterpreting the Democratic Peace as a Macrohistorical Learning Process
  American Political Science Review 95 (1): 15-31
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 2001.
  Modeling the Democratic Peace as a Kantian Selection Process
  Journal of Conflict Resolution 45 (August 2001): 470-502.
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 2001.
  Exclusion Versus Dilution: Real of Imagined Trade-Off?
  In Constructing Europe's Identity: The External Dimension, ed. L.-E. Cederman. Boulder: Lynne Rienner
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 2001.
  Agent-Based Modeling in Political Science
  The Political Methodologist 10: 16-22
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 2001.
  Andrew Moravcsik: The Choice for Europe
  The Annals of the Social Sciences
   
• Cederman, L.-E. and Rao, M. P. 2001.
  Exploring the Dynamics of the Democratic Peace
  Journal of Conflict Resolution 45: 818-833
   

1997

• Cederman, L.-E. 1997.
  Emergent Actors in World Politics: How States and Nations Develop and Dissolve
  Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press
  [www]  
   

1996

• Cederman, L.-E. 1996.
  Expansion or Unity? Placing the European Union in a Historical Perspective
  In Towards a New Europe: Stops and Starts in Regional Integration edited by Gerald Schneider, Patricia Weitsman and Thomas Bernauer. Westport, Conn.: Praeger/Greenwood
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 1996.
  Rerunning History: Counterfactual Simulation in World Politics
  In Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics, ed. Philip E. Tetlock and Aaron Belkin. Princeton: Princeton University Press
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 1996.
  A. D. Smith: Nations and Nationalism in a Global Era
  British Journal of Sociology 47: 736-737
   

1995

• Cederman, L.-E. 1995.
  Competing Identities: An Ecological Model of Nationality Formation
  European Journal of International Relations 1: 331-365.
   

1994

• Cederman, L.-E. 1994.
  Emergent Polarity: Analyzing State-Formation and Power Politics
  International Studies Quarterly 38: 501-533.
   
• Cederman, L.-E. 1994.
  Unpacking the National Interest: An Analysis of Preference Aggregation in Ordinal Games
  In Pierre Allan and Christian Schmidt Qualitative Models in Political Science. Aldershot: Edward Elgar
   
• Cederman, L.-E. and Schneider, G. 1994.
  The Change of Tide in Political Cooperation: A Limited Information Model of European Integration
  International Organization 48: 633-662